A climate risk and opportunity register
An organised view of relevant physical risks, transition risks and opportunities, linked to your activities, locations and value chain.
BaobabADVISORY SERVICESClimate risk & resilience
Climate change reaches your business through its assets, operations and value chain. We turn physical and transition risk into a clear view of what is exposed, when it matters and how to respond.
A good fit for
For organisations bringing climate into risk management, assessing exposed assets or considering the resilience of their business model.
Tangible outcomes
Clear outputs, documented thinking and practical next steps. The final scope is shaped around your organisation and agreed before we begin.
An organised view of relevant physical risks, transition risks and opportunities, linked to your activities, locations and value chain.
An exploration of how selected climate futures and time horizons could affect the business, with assumptions and uncertainties made explicit.
A set of response options and next steps, distinguishing immediate actions from areas that need deeper investigation or specialist assessment.
A concise account of the findings, responsibilities and review process to support leadership discussion, risk management and reporting.
Understand the exposure
A flooded site and a rising carbon cost follow different paths to your business. We assess both, then connect the findings to the decisions your team needs to make.
A changing climate. A direct business impact.
We assess how extreme events and longer-term climate shifts could affect your sites, operations and critical dependencies.
How it reaches your business
Where to strengthen assets and business continuity.
A changing economy. A different set of pressures.
We assess how policy, carbon pricing, technology and market shifts could affect your costs, revenues and business model.
How it reaches your business
Where to adapt your strategy and investment plans.
Scenario analysis
We test how exposure changes across plausible futures and time horizons. Explore the example below to see why a risk assessment needs more than one view of the future.
Change the scenario. See the effect.
Scenario workbench
Illustrative scenario · not a forecastRelative index · 0–100 · higher means greater exposure or pressure
45/100 in 2050
38/100 in 2050
Physical exposure averages the nine asset–hazard scores. Transition pressure is a separate illustrative index.
Three example sites · 2050 · exposure index
| Example site | Heat | Flood | Water |
|---|---|---|---|
| CoastalLogistics hub | 55 out of 100, moderate exposure | 41 out of 100, moderate exposure | 34 out of 100, low exposure |
| InlandProduction site | 45 out of 100, moderate exposure | 24 out of 100, low exposure | 62 out of 100, high exposure |
| UrbanOffice | 58 out of 100, moderate exposure | 34 out of 100, low exposure | 52 out of 100, moderate exposure |
Use the pattern to identify where a closer asset-level assessment may be needed.
Orderly transition · 2050
A more orderly transition can limit the growth of physical exposure, but local risks remain. Here, water stress at the inland site still deserves attention.
Orderly transition, 2050. Physical exposure: 45 out of 100. Transition pressure: 38 out of 100. A more orderly transition can limit the growth of physical exposure, but local risks remain. Here, water stress at the inland site still deserves attention.
In your assessment, each result is linked to a named scenario, a data source and its limitations. Screening identifies where to look closer; a material site may need a detailed local study.
Our approach
A structured assessment, with a useful output at every stage. We agree the scope upfront and leave your team with the evidence and the method to keep it current.
8–10 weeks
Indicative, depending on scopeLocate your sites and critical dependencies. Agree the scenarios, time horizons and materiality threshold before the analysis begins.
Your output
Asset map & assessment boundary
Screen flood, heat, water stress and wind across your portfolio. Compare scenarios and record the data source behind each result.
Your output
Physical risk register & scenario comparison
Assess transition pressures with your teams. Quantify material exposures against the assets, costs and revenues they could affect.
Your output
Financial exposure & sensitivity analysis
Prioritise responses, document the assumptions and prepare your resilience statement. Hand over editable files and walk your team through the method.
Your output
Resilience statement & prioritised actions
Benefits
A ranked view of your most exposed assets and dependencies, so attention goes to the risks that matter to the business.
Understand how different futures affect your operations and cost base, with assumptions and uncertainty visible alongside the results.
A documented assessment your team can explain to lenders, customers and assurance providers, with the source behind each material finding.
Connect the bigger picture
Your decarbonisation plan and climate risk assessment inform each other. Bring them together to test whether today’s investment decisions hold up under tomorrow’s conditions.
Explore Net zero & decarbonisationReduce your contribution to climate change.
Prepare for its effects on your business.
A fixed fee, set by the number of locations and by whether financial quantification is in scope. You get the fee and a written scope before the work starts. Anything outside that scope is quoted separately rather than absorbed and billed later.
In part, yes. The main hazard datasets are public and free, including Copernicus, the JRC flood hazard maps and WRI Aqueduct for water stress, and a competent analyst can screen a small portfolio with them. The work we are usually called in for is what comes after: choosing scenarios that an assurance provider will accept, holding a materiality threshold under pressure, and writing the resilience statement.
Hazard data is modelled at a resolution suited to screening a portfolio, not to deciding whether one particular building floods. We record the resolution and the reference year against every score. Where a site is material and the screening result is not decisive, the next step is a site-level study, and we mark the site rather than raise the confidence of a screening score.
Not for the physical screening, which runs off locations. Carbon price exposure needs Scope 1 and 2 volumes, so if those do not exist yet we either use the best available estimate and mark it as one, or run the inventory first and sequence the two pieces of work.
You hold the register, the narratives and the statement as your own files, not as a login to something of ours. The scoring method, the scenario choices and the assumptions are written into the register itself, so next year's update does not depend on us being available.
No. The scope is the asset list, the scenarios and the horizons agreed in week two, and it is written down. Sites added afterwards, or a third scenario requested mid-way, are quoted as a change before any work is done on them.
Tell us about your sites, your reporting needs and the decisions ahead. We’ll help you define the right scope for your climate risk assessment.